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EST Estonia - Meistriliiga · Final ·

Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–3Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa68%
Pareggio19%
Vittoria ospite13%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 68% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
68% / 19% / 13%Esito partitaVittoria casa68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (13.4%)Doppia Chance1X86.6%1.15
Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%Goals 2.5Sopra54%1.85
Sì 36% · No 64%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
11.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapFC Kuressaare winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flora Tallinn win68%1.471.3367%+1.0 pp
Pareggio19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp
FC Kuressaare win13%7.696.2514.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flora Tallinn2.31

Casa share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%

FC Kuressaare0.51

Trasferta share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Flora Tallinn

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vinta probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flora Tallinn signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Kuressaare signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flora Tallinn vinta 68%,Pareggio 19%,FC Kuressaare vinta 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Sopra 2.5 54% · Current selection Sopra