MatchFormula Finn en kamp
Menu
UTC+8
TidssoneAsia/Shanghai
Norsk
EST Estonia Meistriliiga · Final ·

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–3Prognose 2–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier68%
Uavgjort19%
Borteseier13%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 68% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier68% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
68% / 19% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (13.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X86.6%1.15
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 36% · Nei 64%Begge lag scorerNei64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapFC Kuressaare winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Flora Tallinn win68%1.471.3367%+1.0 pp
Uavgjort19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp
FC Kuressaare win13%7.696.2514.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Flora Tallinn2.31

Hjemme share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

FC Kuressaare0.51

Borte share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nei 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Flora Tallinn signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Kuressaare signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Flora Tallinn vunnet 68%,Uavgjort 19%,FC Kuressaare vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over