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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Final ·

FC Flora vs FC Kuressaare

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–3Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr68%
Uafgjort19%
Udesejr13%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 68% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr68% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC FloraFC Kuressaare
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
68% / 19% / 13%KampresultatHjemmesejr68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (13.4%)Dobbeltchance1X86.6%1.15
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 36% · Nej 64%Begge hold scorerNej64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapFC Kuressaare winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Flora win68%1.471.3367%+1.0 pp
Uafgjort19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp
FC Kuressaare win13%7.696.2514.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Flora2.31

Hjemme share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

FC Kuressaare0.51

Ude share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nej 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Flora

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vundet probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
FC FloraFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Flora signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Kuressaare signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FC Flora vs FC Kuressaare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Flora vundet 68%,Uafgjort 19%,FC Kuressaare vundet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over