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EST Εσθονία - Meistriliiga · Final ·

Φλόρα Τάλιν vs Κουρεσάαρε

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score2–3Πρόβλεψη 2–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου68%
Ισοπαλία19%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου13%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 68% selection probability
Prediction Αποτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Φλόρα ΤάλινΚουρεσάαρε
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
68% / 19% / 13%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Κουρεσάαρε win (13.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X86.6%1.15
Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%Goals 2.5Άνω54%1.85
Ναι 36% · Όχι 64%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
11.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapΚουρεσάαρε winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Φλόρα Τάλιν win68%1.471.3367%+1.0 pp
Ισοπαλία19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp
Κουρεσάαρε win13%7.696.2514.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Φλόρα Τάλιν2.31

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%

Κουρεσάαρε0.51

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 36% · Όχι 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Φλόρα Τάλιν

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Κουρεσάαρε

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
Φλόρα ΤάλινΚουρεσάαρε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Φλόρα Τάλιν signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Κουρεσάαρε signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Φλόρα Τάλιν vs Κουρεσάαρε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Φλόρα Τάλιν νίκη 68%,Ισοπαλία 19%,Κουρεσάαρε νίκη 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Άνω 2.5 54% · Current selection Άνω