Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 21% / 14%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (13.7%)Double chance1X86.3%1.16
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
3.33 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFC Arlanda winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arlanda win66%1.521.3865.3%+0.7 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Piteå IF win14%7.146.5013.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 72.4%
Total expected goals3.33Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%
Away share of expected goals 27.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchFC Arlanda
LWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchPiteå IF
LLDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
66%
Win probability excluding draw
14%12
Points from supplied form
12.41
Expected goals
0.92FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Arlanda win 66%，Draw 21%，Piteå IF win 14%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.33 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over。