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SWE Sverige - Ettan Norra · Match ·

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger66%
Oavgjort19%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Expected goals3.32Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
66% / 19% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (15.4%)Dubbelchans1X84.6%1.18
Över 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Över65%1.54
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
3.32 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFC Arlanda winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arlanda win66%1.521.3865.3%+0.7 pp
Oavgjort19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
Piteå IF win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Hemma share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.32Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 65% · Under 35%

Piteå IF0.91

Borta share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Piteå IF

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.91
FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piteå IF signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda vunnen 66%,Oavgjort 19%,Piteå IF vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Över 2.5 65% · Current selection Över