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SWE Suécia - 1.ª Divisão - Norte · Partida ·

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa66%
Empate19%
Vitória visitante15%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Expected goals3.32Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima65% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
66% / 19% / 15%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (15.4%)Dupla Chance1X84.6%1.18
Acima 65% · Abaixo 35%Goals 2.5Acima65%1.54
Sim 55% · Não 45%Ambas as equipes marcamSim55%1.82
3.32 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFC Arlanda winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arlanda win66%1.521.3865.3%+0.7 pp
Empate19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
Piteå IF win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Mandante share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.32Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 65% · Abaixo 35%

Piteå IF0.91

Visitante share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 55% · Não 45%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Piteå IF

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.91
FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piteå IF signalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda ganhou 66%,Empate 19%,Piteå IF ganhou 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Acima 2.5 65% · Current selection Acima