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SWE Sweden 1.div Norra · Maç ·

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır66%
Beraberlik19%
Deplasman kazanır15%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Expected goals3.32Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst65% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
66% / 19% / 15%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (15.4%)Çifte Şans1X84.6%1.18
Üst 65% · Alt 35%Goals 2.5Üst65%1.54
Evet 55% · Hayır 45%Karşılıklı gol varEvet55%1.82
3.32 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.1 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFC Arlanda winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arlanda win66%1.521.3865.3%+0.7 pp
Beraberlik19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
Piteå IF win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.32Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 65% · Alt 35%

Piteå IF0.91

Deplasman share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 55% · Hayır 45%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Piteå IF

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.91
FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piteå IF signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda kazanç 66%,Beraberlik 19%,Piteå IF kazanç 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · 2.5 Üst 65% · Current selection Üst