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SWE Sverige - 1. div. Norra · Kamp ·

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr66%
Uafgjort19%
Udesejr15%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Expected goals3.32Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
66% / 19% / 15%KampresultatHjemmesejr66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (15.4%)Dobbeltchance1X84.6%1.18
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Begge hold scorerJa55%1.82
3.32 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFC Arlanda winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arlanda win66%1.521.3865.3%+0.7 pp
Uafgjort19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
Piteå IF win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Hjemme share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.32Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Piteå IF0.91

Ude share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Piteå IF

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Vundet probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.91
FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piteå IF signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda vundet 66%,Uafgjort 19%,Piteå IF vundet 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over