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SWE Sweden 1.div Norra · Fixture ·

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Away form
Home win66%
Draw18%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win66% selection probability
Projected score2–1Hammarby TFFFBK Karlstad
Expected goals3.15Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 18% / 15%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FBK Karlstad win (15.4%)Double chance1X84.6%1.18
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
3.15 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFBK Karlstad winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hammarby TFF win66%1.521.3666.3%-0.3 pp
Draw18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
FBK Karlstad win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hammarby TFF2.29

Home share of expected goals 72.7%

Total expected goals3.15Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

FBK Karlstad0.86

Away share of expected goals 27.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hammarby TFF

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

FBK Karlstad

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.29
Expected goals
0.86
Hammarby TFFFBK Karlstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hammarby TFF signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBK Karlstad signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hammarby TFF win 66%,Draw 18%,FBK Karlstad win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over