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SWE Швеция - 1. Дивизия Нора · Мач ·

Хамарби vs ФБК Карлстад

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина65%
Равен19%
Победа за госта17%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина65% selection probability
Projected score2–1ХамарбиФБК Карлстад
Expected goals3.15Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
65% / 19% / 17%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФБК Карлстад win (16.6%)Двоен шанс1X83.4%1.20
Над 61% · Под 39%Goals 2.5Над61%1.64
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
3.15 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapХамарби winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Хамарби win65%1.541.4064%+1.0 pp
Равен19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
ФБК Карлстад win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Хамарби2.29

Домакин share of expected goals 72.7%

Total expected goals3.15Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 61% · Под 39%

ФБК Карлстад0.86

Гост share of expected goals 27.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Хамарби

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФБК Карлстад

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
17%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.29
Expected goals
0.86
ХамарбиФБК Карлстад
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Хамарби signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФБК Карлстад signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Хамарби vs ФБК Карлстад FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Хамарби печеливш 65%,Равен 19%,ФБК Карлстад печеливш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Над 2.5 61% · Current selection Над