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SWE Szwecja - Div 1 Norra · Mecz ·

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy66%
Remis18%
Wygrana gości15%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy66% selection probability
Projected score2–1Hammarby TFFFBK Karlstad
Expected goals3.15Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
66% / 18% / 15%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FBK Karlstad win (15.4%)Podwójna szansa1X84.6%1.18
Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%Goals 2.5Powyżej61%1.64
Tak 52% · Nie 48%Obie drużyny strzeląTak52%1.92
3.15 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFBK Karlstad winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hammarby TFF win66%1.521.3666.3%-0.3 pp
Remis18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
FBK Karlstad win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hammarby TFF2.29

Gospodarze share of expected goals 72.7%

Total expected goals3.15Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%

FBK Karlstad0.86

Goście share of expected goals 27.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 52% · Nie 48%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Hammarby TFF

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FBK Karlstad

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
15%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.29
Expected goals
0.86
Hammarby TFFFBK Karlstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hammarby TFF signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBK Karlstad signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hammarby TFF wygrana 66%,Remis 18%,FBK Karlstad wygrana 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Powyżej 2.5 61% · Current selection Powyżej