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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
SWE Zweden - Ettan Norra · Wedstrijd ·

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst66%
Gelijkspel18%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst66% selection probability
Projected score2–1Hammarby TFFFBK Karlstad
Expected goals3.15Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
66% / 18% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FBK Karlstad win (15.4%)Dubbele Kans1X84.6%1.18
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
3.15 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFBK Karlstad winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hammarby TFF win66%1.521.3666.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
FBK Karlstad win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hammarby TFF2.29

Thuis share of expected goals 72.7%

Total expected goals3.15Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

FBK Karlstad0.86

Uit share of expected goals 27.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Hammarby TFF

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FBK Karlstad

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.29
Expected goals
0.86
Hammarby TFFFBK Karlstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hammarby TFF signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBK Karlstad signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hammarby TFF gewonnen 66%,Gelijkspel 18%,FBK Karlstad gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven