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SWE Швеция - 1-й дивизион - Норра · Матч ·

Хаммарбю ТФФ vs ФБК Карлстад

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев66%
Ничья18%
Победа гостей15%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев66% selection probability
Projected score2–1Хаммарбю ТФФФБК Карлстад
Expected goals3.15Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
66% / 18% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФБК Карлстад win (15.4%)Двойной шанс1X84.6%1.18
Больше 61% · Меньше 39%Goals 2.5Больше61%1.64
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
3.15 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapФБК Карлстад winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Хаммарбю ТФФ win66%1.521.3666.3%-0.3 pp
Ничья18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
ФБК Карлстад win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Хаммарбю ТФФ2.29

Хозяева share of expected goals 72.7%

Total expected goals3.15Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 61% · Меньше 39%

ФБК Карлстад0.86

Гости share of expected goals 27.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Хаммарбю ТФФ

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФБК Карлстад

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.29
Expected goals
0.86
Хаммарбю ТФФФБК Карлстад
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Хаммарбю ТФФ signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФБК Карлстад signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Хаммарбю ТФФ vs ФБК Карлстад FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Хаммарбю ТФФ выигрыш 66%,Ничья 18%,ФБК Карлстад выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · ТБ 2.5 61% · Current selection Больше