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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur16%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de71% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 24% / 16%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Moquegua win (16.2%)Double chance1X83.8%1.19
Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%Goals 2.5Moins de71%1.41
Oui 32% · Non 68%Les deux équipes marquentNon68%1.47
1.86 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Garcilaso win60%1.671.5560%0.0 pp
Nul24%4.173.9023.8%+0.2 pp
Deportivo Moquegua win16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Garcilaso1.29

Domicile share of expected goals 69.4%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%

Deportivo Moquegua0.57

Extérieur share of expected goals 30.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 32% · Non 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
0.57
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Garcilaso signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Moquegua signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Garcilaso victoire 60%,Nul 24%,Deportivo Moquegua victoire 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Plus de 2.5 29% · Current selection Moins de