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INT Peru Liga 1 · Match ·

FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.58 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile67%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur13%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile67% selection probability
Projected score3–1FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.58Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
67% / 20% / 13%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Cajamarca win (13%)Double chance1X87%1.15
Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%Goals 2.5Plus de70%1.43
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
3.58 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
FBC Melgar win67%1.49
Nul20%5.00
FC Cajamarca win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBC Melgar2.82

Domicile share of expected goals 78.8%

Total expected goals3.58Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%

FC Cajamarca0.76

Extérieur share of expected goals 21.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gagné probability excluding draw
13%
11
Points from supplied form
3
2.82
Expected goals
0.76
FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBC Melgar signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Cajamarca signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBC Melgar victoire 67%,Nul 20%,FC Cajamarca victoire 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.58 · Plus de 2.5 70% · Current selection Plus de