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INT ペルー リーガ1 · 試合 ·

FBCメルガール vs FCカハマルカ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score3–13.58 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利67%
引き分け20%
アウェイ勝利13%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利67% selection probability
Projected score3–1FBCメルガールFCカハマルカ
Expected goals3.58始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー70% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
67% / 20% / 13%試合結果ホーム勝利67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FCカハマルカ win (13%)ダブルチャンス1X87%1.15
オーバー 70% · アンダー 30%Goals 2.5オーバー70%1.43
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点はい50%2.00
3.58 total expected goals正確なスコア3–1
8.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FBCメルガール win67%1.49
引き分け20%5.00
FCカハマルカ win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBCメルガール2.82

ホーム share of expected goals 78.8%

Total expected goals3.58始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 70% · アンダー 30%

FCカハマルカ0.76

アウェイ share of expected goals 21.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FBCメルガール

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FCカハマルカ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
勝ち probability excluding draw
13%
11
Points from supplied form
3
2.82
Expected goals
0.76
FBCメルガールFCカハマルカ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBCメルガール signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FCカハマルカ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FBCメルガール vs FCカハマルカ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBCメルガール 勝ち 67%,引き分け 20%,FCカハマルカ 勝ち 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.58 · オーバー 2.5 70% · Current selection オーバー