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INT Peru Liga 1 · Матч ·

FBC Melgar vs ФК Кахамарка

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.58 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев67%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей13%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев67% selection probability
Projected score3–1FBC MelgarФК Кахамарка
Expected goals3.58Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
67% / 20% / 13%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Кахамарка win (13%)Двойной шанс1X87%1.15
Больше 70% · Меньше 30%Goals 2.5Больше70%1.43
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютДа50%2.00
3.58 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
8.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
FBC Melgar win67%1.49
Ничья20%5.00
ФК Кахамарка win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBC Melgar2.82

Хозяева share of expected goals 78.8%

Total expected goals3.58Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 70% · Меньше 30%

ФК Кахамарка0.76

Гости share of expected goals 21.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Кахамарка

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
13%
11
Points from supplied form
3
2.82
Expected goals
0.76
FBC MelgarФК Кахамарка
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBC Melgar signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Кахамарка signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FBC Melgar vs ФК Кахамарка FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBC Melgar выигрыш 67%,Ничья 20%,ФК Кахамарка выигрыш 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.58 · ТБ 2.5 70% · Current selection Больше