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INT Peru Liga 1 · Mecz ·

FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–13.58 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy67%
Remis20%
Wygrana gości13%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy67% selection probability
Projected score3–1FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.58Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej70% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
67% / 20% / 13%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Cajamarca win (13%)Podwójna szansa1X87%1.15
Powyżej 70% · Poniżej 30%Goals 2.5Powyżej70%1.43
Tak 50% · Nie 50%Obie drużyny strzeląTak50%2.00
3.58 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
8.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
FBC Melgar win67%1.49
Remis20%5.00
FC Cajamarca win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBC Melgar2.82

Gospodarze share of expected goals 78.8%

Total expected goals3.58Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 70% · Poniżej 30%

FC Cajamarca0.76

Goście share of expected goals 21.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 50% · Nie 50%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
13%
11
Points from supplied form
3
2.82
Expected goals
0.76
FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBC Melgar signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Cajamarca signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBC Melgar wygrana 67%,Remis 20%,FC Cajamarca wygrana 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.58 · Powyżej 2.5 70% · Current selection Powyżej