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INT Peru Liga 1 · Mérkőzés ·

FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score3–13.58 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem67%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem13%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem67% selection probability
Projected score3–1FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.58Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett69% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
67% / 20% / 13%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Cajamarca win (13%)Dupla esély1X87%1.15
Felett 69% · Alatt 31%Goals 2.5Felett69%1.45
Igen 50% · Nem 50%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen50%2.00
3.58 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–1
8.2 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
FBC Melgar win67%1.49
Döntetlen20%5.00
FC Cajamarca win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBC Melgar2.82

Hazai share of expected goals 78.8%

Total expected goals3.58Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 69% · Alatt 31%

FC Cajamarca0.76

Vendég share of expected goals 21.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitIgen 50% · Nem 50%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

FC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Nyert probability excluding draw
13%
11
Points from supplied form
3
2.82
Expected goals
0.76
FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBC Melgar signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Cajamarca signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBC Melgar nyer 67%,Döntetlen 20%,FC Cajamarca nyer 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.58 · 2.5 felett 69% · Current selection Felett