MatchFormula Finn en kamp
Menu
UTC+8
TidssoneAsia/Shanghai
Norsk
INT Peru Liga 1 · Kamp ·

FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.58 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier67%
Uavgjort20%
Borteseier13%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier67% selection probability
Projected score3–1FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.58Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
67% / 20% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Cajamarca win (13%)Dobbel sjanse1X87%1.15
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Ja 50% · Nei 50%Begge lag scorerJa50%2.00
3.58 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
8.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
FBC Melgar win67%1.49
Uavgjort20%5.00
FC Cajamarca win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBC Melgar2.82

Hjemme share of expected goals 78.8%

Total expected goals3.58Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

FC Cajamarca0.76

Borte share of expected goals 21.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nei 50%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
11
Points from supplied form
3
2.82
Expected goals
0.76
FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBC Melgar signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Cajamarca signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBC Melgar vunnet 67%,Uavgjort 20%,FC Cajamarca vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.58 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over