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UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier39%
Uavgjort29%
Borteseier32%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier39% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaAD Tarma
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
39% / 29% / 32%KampresultatHjemmeseier39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Dobbel sjanse1271.4%1.40
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nei 45%Begge lag scorerJa55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
UTC Cajamarca win39%2.56
Uavgjort29%3.45
AD Tarma win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca1.46

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

AD Tarma1.23

Borte share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nei 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poeng0

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
32%
3
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
1.23
UTC CajamarcaAD Tarma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Tarma signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca vunnet 39%,Uavgjort 29%,AD Tarma vunnet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over