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INT Peru Liga 1 · Match ·

UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile43%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile43% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaAD Tarma
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
43% / 28% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Double chance1271.6%1.40
Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%Goals 2.5Plus de51%1.96
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTC Cajamarca win43%2.332.1543.2%-0.2 pp
Nul28%3.573.2528.6%-0.6 pp
AD Tarma win28%3.573.3028.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca1.46

Domicile share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%

AD Tarma1.24

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
1.24
UTC CajamarcaAD Tarma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Tarma signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca victoire 43%,Nul 28%,AD Tarma victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Plus de 2.5 51% · Current selection Plus de