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INT Peru Liga 1 · Meci ·

UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde43%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți28%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde43% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaAD Tarma
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste50% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
43% / 28% / 28%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Șansă dublă1271.6%1.40
Peste 50% · Sub 50%Goals 2.5Peste50%2.00
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTC Cajamarca win43%2.332.1543.2%-0.2 pp
Egal28%3.573.2528.6%-0.6 pp
AD Tarma win28%3.573.3028.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca1.46

Gazde share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 50% · Sub 50%

AD Tarma1.23

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Câștig probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
1.23
UTC CajamarcaAD Tarma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Tarma signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca câștig 43%,Egal 28%,AD Tarma câștig 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Peste 2.5 50% · Current selection Peste