Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 28% / 28%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Double chance1271.6%1.40
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTC Cajamarca win43%2.332.1543.2%-0.2 pp
Draw28%3.573.2528.6%-0.6 pp
AD Tarma win28%3.573.3028.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.1%
Total expected goals2.70Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 45.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchUTC Cajamarca
LDLDD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchAD Tarma
LLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
28%3
Points from supplied form
01.46
Expected goals
1.24UTC CajamarcaAD Tarma
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
UTC Cajamarca win 43%，Draw 28%，AD Tarma win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。