Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 31% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Boys win (26.4%)Double chanceX273.6%1.36
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.07 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sport Boys win26%3.85
Draw31%3.23
Alianza Lima win42%2.38
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 39.1%
Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%
Away share of expected goals 60.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSport Boys
WWLWD
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchAlianza Lima
WDWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
26%
Win probability excluding draw
42%10
Points from supplied form
110.81
Expected goals
1.26Sport BoysAlianza Lima
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sport Boys win 26%，Draw 31%，Alianza Lima win 42%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.07 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under。