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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partido ·

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local26%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante42%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sport BoysAlianza Lima
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de66% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
26% / 31% / 42%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Boys win (26.4%)Doble OportunidadX273.6%1.36
Más de 34% · Menos de 66%Goals 2.5Menos de66%1.52
Sí 40% · No 60%Ambos equipos marcanNo60%1.67
2.07 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Sport Boys win26%3.85
Empate31%3.23
Alianza Lima win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sport Boys0.81

Local share of expected goals 39.1%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 34% · Menos de 66%

Alianza Lima1.26

Visitante share of expected goals 60.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sport Boys

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganado probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.26
Sport BoysAlianza Lima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sport Boys signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Lima signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sport Boys ganada 26%,Empate 31%,Alianza Lima ganada 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Más de 2.5 34% · Current selection Menos de