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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partido ·

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local53%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
53% / 26% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21%)Doble Oportunidad1X79%1.27
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.8051.8%+1.2 pp
Empate26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Sporting Cristal win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitario de Deportes1.88

Local share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Sporting Cristal0.81

Visitante share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.81
Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitario de Deportes signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitario de Deportes ganada 53%,Empate 26%,Sporting Cristal ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de