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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partida ·

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa53%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante22%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima51% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
53% / 26% / 22%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21.6%)Dupla Chance1X78.4%1.28
Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%Goals 2.5Acima51%1.96
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.8051.9%+1.1 pp
Empate26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Sporting Cristal win22%4.554.2022.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitario de Deportes1.88

Mandante share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%

Sporting Cristal0.81

Visitante share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.81
Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitario de Deportes signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitario de Deportes ganhou 53%,Empate 26%,Sporting Cristal ganhou 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Acima 2.5 51% · Current selection Acima