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INT Peru Liga 1 · Mérkőzés ·

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem53%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem22%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett51% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
53% / 26% / 22%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21.6%)Dupla esély1X78.4%1.28
Felett 51% · Alatt 49%Goals 2.5Felett51%1.96
Igen 48% · Nem 52%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.8051.9%+1.1 pp
Döntetlen26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Sporting Cristal win22%4.554.2022.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitario de Deportes1.88

Hazai share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 51% · Alatt 49%

Sporting Cristal0.81

Vendég share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 48% · Nem 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Nyert probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.81
Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitario de Deportes signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitario de Deportes nyer 53%,Döntetlen 26%,Sporting Cristal nyer 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · 2.5 felett 51% · Current selection Felett