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INT Peru Liga 1 · Mecz ·

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy53%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości22%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
53% / 26% / 22%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21.6%)Podwójna szansa1X78.4%1.28
Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%Goals 2.5Powyżej51%1.96
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.8051.9%+1.1 pp
Remis26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Sporting Cristal win22%4.554.2022.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitario de Deportes1.88

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%

Sporting Cristal0.81

Goście share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.81
Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitario de Deportes signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitario de Deportes wygrana 53%,Remis 26%,Sporting Cristal wygrana 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Powyżej 2.5 51% · Current selection Powyżej