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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partita ·

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite22%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 26% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Cristal win (21.6%)Doppia Chance1X78.4%1.28
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.8051.9%+1.1 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Sporting Cristal win22%4.554.2022.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitario de Deportes1.88

Casa share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Sporting Cristal0.81

Trasferta share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.81
Universitario de DeportesSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitario de Deportes signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitario de Deportes vinta 53%,Pareggio 26%,Sporting Cristal vinta 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra