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INT Peru Liga 1 · Match ·

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger60%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger16%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger60% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
60% / 24% / 16%MatchresultatHemmaseger60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Moquegua win (16.2%)Dubbelchans1X83.8%1.19
Över 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Ja 32% · Nej 68%Båda lagen gör målNej68%1.47
1.86 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Garcilaso win60%1.671.5560%0.0 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.9023.8%+0.2 pp
Deportivo Moquegua win16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Garcilaso1.29

Hemma share of expected goals 69.4%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 29% · Under 71%

Deportivo Moquegua0.57

Borta share of expected goals 30.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nej 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
0.57
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Garcilaso signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Moquegua signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Garcilaso vunnen 60%,Oavgjort 24%,Deportivo Moquegua vunnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Över 2.5 29% · Current selection Under