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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–0Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde60%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți16%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde60% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub71% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
60% / 24% / 16%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Moquegua win (16.2%)Șansă dublă1X83.8%1.19
Peste 29% · Sub 71%Goals 2.5Sub71%1.41
Da 32% · Nu 68%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu68%1.47
1.86 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Garcilaso win60%1.671.5560%0.0 pp
Egal24%4.173.9023.8%+0.2 pp
Deportivo Moquegua win16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Garcilaso1.29

Gazde share of expected goals 69.4%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 29% · Sub 71%

Deportivo Moquegua0.57

Oaspeți share of expected goals 30.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 32% · Nu 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puncte4

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Câștig probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
0.57
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Garcilaso signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Moquegua signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Garcilaso câștig 60%,Egal 24%,Deportivo Moquegua câștig 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Peste 2.5 29% · Current selection Sub