Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 24% / 16%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Moquegua win (16.2%)Double chance1X83.8%1.19
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
1.86 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Garcilaso win60%1.671.5560%0.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.9023.8%+0.2 pp
Deportivo Moquegua win16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.4%
Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%
Away share of expected goals 30.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchDeportivo Garcilaso
WWLWD
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchDeportivo Moquegua
DDDLD
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
16%10
Points from supplied form
41.29
Expected goals
0.57Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Deportivo Garcilaso win 60%，Draw 24%，Deportivo Moquegua win 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.86 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under。