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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–0Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr60%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr16%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr60% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
60% / 24% / 16%KampresultatHjemmesejr60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Moquegua win (16.2%)Dobbeltchance1X83.8%1.19
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Ja 32% · Nej 68%Begge hold scorerNej68%1.47
1.86 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Garcilaso win60%1.671.5560%0.0 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.9023.8%+0.2 pp
Deportivo Moquegua win16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Garcilaso1.29

Hjemme share of expected goals 69.4%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Deportivo Moquegua0.57

Ude share of expected goals 30.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nej 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Point4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vundet probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
0.57
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Garcilaso signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Moquegua signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Garcilaso vundet 60%,Uafgjort 24%,Deportivo Moquegua vundet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under