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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–0Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst16%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 24% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Moquegua win (16.2%)Dubbele Kans1X83.8%1.19
Boven 29% · Onder 71%Goals 2.5Onder71%1.41
Ja 32% · Nee 68%Beide teams scorenNee68%1.47
1.86 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Garcilaso win60%1.671.5560%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.9023.8%+0.2 pp
Deportivo Moquegua win16%6.255.7516.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Garcilaso1.29

Thuis share of expected goals 69.4%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 29% · Onder 71%

Deportivo Moquegua0.57

Uit share of expected goals 30.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nee 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
0.57
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Garcilaso signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Moquegua signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Garcilaso gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 24%,Deportivo Moquegua gewonnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Boven 2.5 29% · Current selection Onder