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WAL Pays de Galles - Championship South · Match ·

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score2–2AberystwythTreowen Stars
Expected goals3.47Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 21% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Treowen Stars win (20.5%)Double chance1X79.5%1.26
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 67% · Non 33%Les deux équipes marquentOui67%1.49
3.47 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aberystwyth win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
Nul21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Treowen Stars win21%4.764.5019.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aberystwyth1.97

Domicile share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals3.47Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Treowen Stars1.50

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 67% · Non 33%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Aberystwyth

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Treowen Stars

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.97
Expected goals
1.50
AberystwythTreowen Stars
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aberystwyth signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Treowen Stars signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aberystwyth victoire 59%,Nul 21%,Treowen Stars victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de