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WAL Pays de Galles - Championship South · Match ·

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile68%
Nul17%
Victoire à l’extérieur14%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Expected goals3.19Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
68% / 17% / 14%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ynyshir Albions win (14.4%)Double chance1X85.6%1.17
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
3.19 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYnyshir Albions winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caerau Ely win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
Nul17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Ynyshir Albions win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerau Ely2.46

Domicile share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Ynyshir Albions0.73

Extérieur share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Caerau Ely

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Ynyshir Albions

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Gagné probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerau Ely signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ynyshir Albions signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerau Ely victoire 68%,Nul 17%,Ynyshir Albions victoire 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de