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WAL Galles - Championship South · Partita ·

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa68%
Pareggio17%
Vittoria ospite14%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Expected goals3.19Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
68% / 17% / 14%Esito partitaVittoria casa68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ynyshir Albions win (14.4%)Doppia Chance1X85.6%1.17
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
3.19 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYnyshir Albions winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caerau Ely win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
Pareggio17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Ynyshir Albions win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerau Ely2.46

Casa share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Ynyshir Albions0.73

Trasferta share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Caerau Ely

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Ynyshir Albions

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vinta probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerau Ely signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ynyshir Albions signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerau Ely vinta 68%,Pareggio 17%,Ynyshir Albions vinta 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra