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WAL Wales Championship South · Maç ·

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır68%
Beraberlik17%
Deplasman kazanır14%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Expected goals3.19Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst62% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
68% / 17% / 14%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ynyshir Albions win (14.4%)Çifte Şans1X85.6%1.17
Üst 62% · Alt 38%Goals 2.5Üst62%1.61
Evet 48% · Hayır 52%Karşılıklı gol varHayır52%1.92
3.19 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYnyshir Albions winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caerau Ely win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
Beraberlik17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Ynyshir Albions win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerau Ely2.46

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 62% · Alt 38%

Ynyshir Albions0.73

Deplasman share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 48% · Hayır 52%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Caerau Ely

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Ynyshir Albions

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerau Ely signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ynyshir Albions signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerau Ely kazanç 68%,Beraberlik 17%,Ynyshir Albions kazanç 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · 2.5 Üst 62% · Current selection Üst