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WAL Wales Championship South · Kamp ·

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier68%
Uavgjort17%
Borteseier14%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Expected goals3.19Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
68% / 17% / 14%KampresultatHjemmeseier68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ynyshir Albions win (14.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X85.6%1.17
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Ja 48% · Nei 52%Begge lag scorerNei52%1.92
3.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYnyshir Albions winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caerau Ely win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
Uavgjort17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Ynyshir Albions win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerau Ely2.46

Hjemme share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Ynyshir Albions0.73

Borte share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nei 52%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Caerau Ely

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Ynyshir Albions

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerau Ely signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ynyshir Albions signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerau Ely vunnet 68%,Uavgjort 17%,Ynyshir Albions vunnet 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over