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WAL Wales Championship South · Trận đấu ·

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng68%
Hòa17%
Đội khách thắng14%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Expected goals3.19Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài62% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
68% / 17% / 14%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ynyshir Albions win (14.4%)Cơ hội kép1X85.6%1.17
Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%Goals 2.5Tài62%1.61
Có 48% · Không 52%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông52%1.92
3.19 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
10.1 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYnyshir Albions winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caerau Ely win68%1.471.3367.8%+0.2 pp
Hòa17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Ynyshir Albions win14%7.146.0015%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerau Ely2.46

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.19Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%

Ynyshir Albions0.73

Khách share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · Không 52%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Caerau Ely

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Ynyshir Albions

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Thắng probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.46
Expected goals
0.73
Caerau ElyYnyshir Albions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerau Ely signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ynyshir Albions signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Caerau Ely vs Ynyshir Albions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerau Ely thắng 68%,Hòa 17%,Ynyshir Albions thắng 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Tài 2.5 62% · Current selection Tài