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WAL Wales Championship South · Trận đấu ·

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–23.02 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng39%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng36%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Afan LidoLlantwit Major
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài58% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
39% / 25% / 36%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Cơ hội kép1275.1%1.33
Tài 58% · Xỉu 42%Goals 2.5Tài58%1.72
Có 59% · Không 41%Cả hai đội ghi bàn59%1.69
3.02 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–2
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapAfan Lido winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afan Lido win39%2.562.2040.7%-1.7 pp
Hòa25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Llantwit Major win36%2.782.6034.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afan Lido1.20

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 58% · Xỉu 42%

Llantwit Major1.82

Khách share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 59% · Không 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Afan Lido

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà won 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Llantwit Major

0.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Điểm1

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Thắng probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.20
Expected goals
1.82
Afan LidoLlantwit Major
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afan Lido signalChủ nhà won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Llantwit Major signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afan Lido thắng 39%,Hòa 25%,Llantwit Major thắng 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Tài 2.5 58% · Current selection Tài