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WAL Wales - Championship South · Wedstrijd ·

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.02 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Afan LidoLlantwit Major
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 25% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 58% · Onder 42%Goals 2.5Boven58%1.72
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
3.02 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapAfan Lido winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afan Lido win39%2.562.2040.7%-1.7 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Llantwit Major win36%2.782.6034.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afan Lido1.20

Thuis share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 58% · Onder 42%

Llantwit Major1.82

Uit share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Afan Lido

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Llantwit Major

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.20
Expected goals
1.82
Afan LidoLlantwit Major
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afan Lido signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Llantwit Major signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afan Lido gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 25%,Llantwit Major gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Boven 2.5 58% · Current selection Boven