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WAL Pays de Galles - Championship South · Match ·

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.02 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur36%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Afan LidoLlantwit Major
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 25% / 36%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%Goals 2.5Plus de58%1.72
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
3.02 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapAfan Lido winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afan Lido win39%2.562.2040.7%-1.7 pp
Nul25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Llantwit Major win36%2.782.6034.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afan Lido1.20

Domicile share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%

Llantwit Major1.82

Extérieur share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Afan Lido

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Llantwit Major

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.20
Expected goals
1.82
Afan LidoLlantwit Major
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afan Lido signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Llantwit Major signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afan Lido victoire 39%,Nul 25%,Llantwit Major victoire 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Plus de 2.5 58% · Current selection Plus de