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WAL Pays de Galles - Championship South · Match ·

Caerphilly Athletic vs Cardiff Draconians

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.04 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile32%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur44%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
32% / 24% / 44%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Double chance1275.8%1.32
Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%Goals 2.5Plus de59%1.69
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caerphilly Athletic win32%3.132.8831.1%
Nul24%4.173.7024.2%
Cardiff Draconians win44%2.272.0044.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerphilly Athletic1.44

Domicile share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%

Cardiff Draconians1.60

Extérieur share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Caerphilly Athletic

0.00pts / match
Joués1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Cardiff Draconians

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gagné probability excluding draw
44%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.44
Expected goals
1.60
Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerphilly Athletic signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cardiff Draconians signalExtérieur failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Caerphilly Athletic vs Cardiff Draconians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerphilly Athletic victoire 32%,Nul 24%,Cardiff Draconians victoire 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Plus de 2.5 59% · Current selection Plus de