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WAL Wales - Championship South · Match ·

Caerphilly Athletic vs Cardiff Draconians

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger34%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
Expected goals3.05Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över59% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 24% / 34%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Dubbelchans1276%1.32
Över 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Över59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Båda lagen gör målJa61%1.64
3.05 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Caerphilly Athletic win42%2.38
Oavgjort24%4.17
Cardiff Draconians win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerphilly Athletic1.61

Hemma share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.05Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 59% · Under 41%

Cardiff Draconians1.44

Borta share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Caerphilly Athletic

0.00pts / match
Spelade1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poäng0

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Cardiff Draconians

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.61
Expected goals
1.44
Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerphilly Athletic signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cardiff Draconians signalBorta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Caerphilly Athletic vs Cardiff Draconians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerphilly Athletic vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 24%,Cardiff Draconians vunnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Över 2.5 59% · Current selection Över