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WAL Wales - Championship South · Kamp ·

Caerphilly Athletic vs Cardiff Draconians

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr42%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr34%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
Expected goals3.05Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
42% / 24% / 34%KampresultatHjemmesejr42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Dobbeltchance1276%1.32
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Begge hold scorerJa61%1.64
3.05 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Caerphilly Athletic win42%2.38
Uafgjort24%4.17
Cardiff Draconians win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerphilly Athletic1.61

Hjemme share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.05Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Cardiff Draconians1.44

Ude share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Caerphilly Athletic

0.00pts / match
Spillet1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Point0

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Cardiff Draconians

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalUde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.61
Expected goals
1.44
Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerphilly Athletic signalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cardiff Draconians signalUde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Caerphilly Athletic vs Cardiff Draconians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerphilly Athletic vundet 42%,Uafgjort 24%,Cardiff Draconians vundet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over