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WAL Wales Championship South · Trận đấu ·

Newport City vs Carmarthen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng32%
Hòa24%
Đội khách thắng44%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Newport CityCarmarthen
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài56% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
32% / 24% / 44%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Cơ hội kép1275.6%1.32
Tài 56% · Xỉu 44%Goals 2.5Tài56%1.79
Có 57% · Không 43%Cả hai đội ghi bàn57%1.75
2.93 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–2
10.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapCarmarthen winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newport City win32%3.132.7532.8%-0.8 pp
Hòa24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Carmarthen win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newport City1.14

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 38.9%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 56% · Xỉu 44%

Carmarthen1.79

Khách share of expected goals 61.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 57% · Không 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Newport City

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Carmarthen

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Thắng probability excluding draw
44%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.14
Expected goals
1.79
Newport CityCarmarthen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newport City signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carmarthen signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Newport City vs Carmarthen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newport City thắng 32%,Hòa 24%,Carmarthen thắng 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Tài 2.5 56% · Current selection Tài